A pollster taking into account the “hidden Trump vote” says President Trump is ahead in several battleground states, despite various national polls saying otherwise.
With only four days until Election Day, the Trafalgar Group’s Robert Cahaly, who correctly predicted Trump’s victory in 2016, says he sees Trump ahead in Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Michigan.
Cahaly explained one reason is many voters give misleading answers to pollsters.
“I definitely think it is going to be a surprise,” Cahaly said in an interview with The Washington Times. “I think people just lie to pollsters.”
According to Cahaly, Trump is leading by three points in Florida, 49% to 46.9%.
Likewise, Trump has a similar lead in Michigan, 49% to 46.6%.
In Pennsylvania, where President Trump has four more rallies scheduled Saturday, Cahaly sees Trump with a one point edge over Joe Biden, 48.4% to 47.6%.
And in North Carolina, which went red in 2016, the president is up 48.8% to 46%.
In The Badger State, Wisconsin, where Trump narrowly won by a percentage point during the last election, Biden is ahead, but only by 0.4%, putting it in play for the president.
The pollster says, similar to 2016, Trump could be sailing toward a landslide victory if the hidden vote is taken into account.
“I see the president winning with a minimum [electoral vote count in the] high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is,” Cahaly told Fox News Sean Hannity last week.
“What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote,” he told Hannity. “There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they’re not interested in sharing their opinions readily … These people … are more hesitant to participate in polls. So if you’re not compensating for this … you’re not going to get honest answers.”
In an eleventh hour campaign blitz, the president has five more rallies scheduled for Sunday, including in Macomb County, Michigan, Dubuque, Iowa, Hickory, North Carolina, Rome, Georgia, and ending in Opa-locka, Florida.
The campaign also has five additional rallies scheduled for Monday.
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